Polymarket
-10851.9%52¢
vs
FanDuel
-11353.1%53¢
· +1.13pp vs FanDuel
fair 54.5% · Pinnacle, multiplicative devig
Head to head
Which venue is currently the cheaper side of the same NFL props, de-vigged and counted live.
Right now BeatVig prices 216 NFL props at both. Polymarket is the cheaper side 75% of the time (164 of 216), and FanDuel is cheaper on 50. This is the board as it stands at 31 Oct 15:09 ET, not an average over any period — BeatVig measures live prices and keeps no price history.
FanDuel is a sportsbook with a margin in the line and a prop menu built for volume. Polymarket is an order book whose player-prop coverage is still filling in. The overlap between them is smaller than either venue's full board, so this page only counts props where both have a live price — a comparison built on markets only one of them prices is not a comparison.
Counted above: every prop Polymarket prices lower than FanDuel. Listed below: the ones that also beat a de-vigged fair price, which is the stricter test and the only one worth acting on.
Polymarket
-10851.9%52¢
vs
FanDuel
-11353.1%53¢
· +1.13pp vs FanDuel
fair 54.5% · Pinnacle, multiplicative devig
Polymarket
-10851.9%52¢
vs
FanDuel
-11854.1%54¢
· +2.21pp vs FanDuel
fair 54.3% · Pinnacle, multiplicative devig
+2.4pp
was the raw edge before Polymarket's
fee, which takes 1.25 percentage points of it
Polymarket
+10449%49¢
vs
FanDuel
-12054.5%55¢
· +5.53pp vs FanDuel
fair 51.1% · Pinnacle, multiplicative devig
+2.03pp
was the raw edge before Polymarket's
fee, which takes 1.25 percentage points of it
Free accounts see a 3-edge sample from below the top of the board. Premium unlocks every prop where Polymarket beats FanDuel, in every sport.
Go PremiumAcross the 216 NFL props priced at both venues right now, Polymarket is the cheaper side on 164 and FanDuel is cheaper on 50; the rest are priced identically at both. Neither venue is cheaper on everything, and this is a live count of the current boards rather than an average over time.
Every quote from both venues is converted to the implied probability of the same outcome, so a contract price and an American price become the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want.
Polymarket's taker fee is a fraction of a percent, which makes its headline quote very close to the all-in cost and often the cheapest of the exchanges in the middle of the price range.
FanDuel's margin is inside the price, so it is charged on every bet regardless of the result.
It is computed from the live board every time the page loads, so it reflects the prices both venues are showing at that moment rather than a snapshot taken on an earlier day.