Projection 2.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Evan Mobley Blocks 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.2% against 55.9% (an edge of -4.7 points) and is now 51.1% against 53.9% (-2.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 10:50 AM | 51.2% | 55.9% | -4.7 |
| Oct 21, 10:10 PM | 50.9% | 55.9% | -5 |
| Oct 21, 10:20 PM | 51.9% | 55.9% | -4 |
| Oct 21, 10:30 PM | 51.9% | 55.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 21, 10:40 PM | 51.9% | 55.9% | -4 |
| Oct 21, 10:50 PM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 22, 5:40 AM | 51.0% | 54.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 22, 4:51 AM | 51.1% | 53.9% | -2.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 1.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | |
|
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 10h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium4 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated about 1 hour ago.