Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (20.5)
Teal bars cleared 20.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Zach LaVine Points Assists 20.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.2% against 56.3% (an edge of -6.1 points) and is now 51.3% against 57.8% (-6.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 5:20 PM | 50.2% | 56.3% | -6.1 |
| Oct 19, 5:30 PM | 52.0% | 56.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 19, 5:40 PM | 52.0% | 57.2% | -5.2 |
| Oct 20, 12:30 AM | 51.5% | 56.4% | -4.9 |
| Oct 20, 4:50 AM | 51.4% | 57.2% | -5.8 |
| Oct 20, 1:30 PM | 52.3% | 57.5% | -5.2 |
| Oct 20, 5:00 PM | 52.1% | 58.0% | -5.9 |
| Oct 20, 7:30 PM | 51.0% | 57.1% | -6.1 |
| Oct 20, 9:50 PM | 52.2% | 56.5% | -4.3 |
| Oct 20, 10:00 PM | 53.6% | 57.4% | -3.8 |
| Oct 20, 10:10 PM | 51.3% | 57.4% | -6.1 |
| Oct 20, 6:45 PM | 51.3% | 57.8% | -6.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 16m ago | ||
| Courtside | 20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 27m ago | ||
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20.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 31m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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