Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Anthony Davis Threes 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 59.9% against 64.3% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 59.0% against 63.0% (-4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 5:00 PM | 59.9% | 64.3% | -4.4 |
| Oct 19, 9:00 PM | 55.0% | 60.9% | -5.9 |
| Oct 20, 12:50 AM | 57.5% | 61.8% | -4.3 |
| Oct 20, 2:42 AM | 59.0% | 63.0% | -4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 9h ago | ||
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 9h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 9h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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