+1.85pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+14441%41¢
against
Pinnacle's
+11845.9%46¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (19.5)
Teal bars cleared 19.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
LeBron James Points 19.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.2% against 58.0% (an edge of -5.8 points) and is now 46.3% against 41.0% (5.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 52.2% | 58.0% | -5.8 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 51.0% | 57.1% | -6.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 49.5% | 53.9% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 45.5% | 54.5% | -9 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 48.9% | 55.0% | -6.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 48.0% | 54.2% | -6.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 50.9% | 53.4% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 AM | 50.0% | 49.8% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 51.0% | 50.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 9:10 AM | 49.8% | 49.4% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 50.0% | 49.5% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 49.3% | 49.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 AM | 48.9% | 49.0% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 50.0% | 49.0% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 50.7% | 50.5% | 0.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 50.8% | 50.0% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 50.0% | 50.0% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 50.3% | 48.8% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 50.2% | 48.1% | 2.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 46.3% | 49.4% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 48.1% | 48.5% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 50.2% | 49.3% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 49.2% | 48.8% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 48.0% | 48.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 49.0% | 47.8% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 47.5% | 45.8% | 1.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 46.4% | 46.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 42.8% | 45.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 48.1% | 46.2% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 47.9% | 45.0% | 2.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 46.2% | 45.0% | 1.2 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 45.6% | 44.6% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 2:27 PM | 46.3% | 41.0% | 5.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing lebron james points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | ||
| Dst Propbuilder | 19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Dst Propbuilder last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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