Projection 7.0
+1.87pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+12943.7%44¢
against
Bet99's
+11546.5%47¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
LeBron James Assists 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 56.5% against 63.0% (an edge of -6.5 points) and is now 46.0% against 44.4% (1.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:00 AM | 56.5% | 63.0% | -6.5 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 48.9% | 58.0% | -9.1 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 52.3% | 57.1% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 52.6% | 56.8% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 54.4% | 56.1% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 50.9% | 55.0% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 51.0% | 53.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 52.0% | 53.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 53.3% | 54.2% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 51.0% | 53.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 50.0% | 51.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 AM | 51.3% | 51.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 51.2% | 52.2% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 54.9% | 51.5% | 3.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 51.4% | 51.5% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 50.5% | 51.5% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 53.2% | 51.0% | 2.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 51.0% | 50.9% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 47.3% | 50.7% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 51.0% | 50.4% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 50.8% | 47.8% | 3 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 46.3% | 47.4% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 47.1% | 47.8% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 48.0% | 48.0% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 48.1% | 47.4% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 50.8% | 47.4% | 3.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 46.8% | 44.1% | 2.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 47.1% | 43.8% | 3.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 44.0% | 44.4% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 44.2% | 44.8% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:18 PM | 46.0% | 44.4% | 1.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing lebron james assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 29m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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