Projection 11.4
+2.53pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+18635%35¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
+18035.7%36¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (11.5)
Teal bars cleared 11.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Victor Wembanyama Rebounds 11.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 45.5% (an edge of 2.5 points) and is now 46.8% against 46.5% (0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 48.0% | 45.5% | 2.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 43.7% | 49.0% | -5.3 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 46.0% | 44.1% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 46.6% | 44.8% | 1.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 48.1% | 44.6% | 3.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 45.5% | 45.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 45.0% | 46.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 47.6% | 46.1% | 1.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 46.2% | 45.6% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 PM | 49.0% | 48.1% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 47.3% | 46.9% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 PM | 46.5% | 48.1% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 PM | 46.8% | 46.5% | 0.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 PM | 46.5% | 46.1% | 0.4 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 PM | 47.2% | 48.1% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:47 PM | 46.8% | 46.5% | 0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing victor wembanyama rebounds are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 11.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 11.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
11.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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