Projection 24.9
+3.13pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+12344.8%45¢
against
Hard Rock Bet's
-10551.2%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (24.5)
Teal bars cleared 24.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Victor Wembanyama Points 24.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 69.0% (an edge of -19 points) and is now 51.7% against 49.9% (1.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:20 AM | 50.0% | 69.0% | -19 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 AM | 49.0% | 53.1% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 5:50 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 AM | 53.8% | 52.8% | 1 |
| Oct 31, 6:30 AM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:40 AM | 49.5% | 55.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 AM | 49.2% | 55.8% | -6.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:10 AM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 AM | 49.6% | 55.0% | -5.4 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 50.2% | 54.5% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 49.2% | 55.0% | -5.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 53.1% | 56.5% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 49.2% | 55.6% | -6.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 49.7% | 55.0% | -5.3 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 52.0% | 53.1% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 51.4% | 55.4% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 51.0% | 55.2% | -4.2 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 51.9% | 55.9% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 51.4% | 55.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 1:20 PM | 51.2% | 55.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 51.7% | 56.1% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 51.5% | 55.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 51.1% | 55.0% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 51.7% | 55.3% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 PM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 51.4% | 54.8% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 55.4% | 52.8% | 2.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 51.6% | 51.0% | 0.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 51.2% | 49.8% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:28 PM | 51.7% | 49.9% | 1.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing victor wembanyama points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
24.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 8m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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