Projection 4.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Karlo Matkovic Rebounds 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 50.6% (an edge of -0.6 points) and is now 54.1% against 58.2% (-4.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:30 AM | 50.0% | 50.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 AM | 49.4% | 51.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 AM | 50.3% | 53.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 AM | 50.3% | 53.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 AM | 50.5% | 53.9% | -3.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 50.8% | 53.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 54.5% | 59.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 55.6% | 60.0% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 57.7% | 58.0% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 58.1% | 57.6% | 0.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 54.1% | 58.2% | -4.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 53.5% | 56.5% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 1:50 PM | 54.2% | 56.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 53.1% | 58.0% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 53.5% | 58.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 55.1% | 57.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 8:20 PM | 56.0% | 57.4% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 4:21 PM | 54.1% | 58.2% | -4.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing karlo matkovic rebounds are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 4h ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 7h ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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