Projection 32.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (31.5)
Teal bars cleared 31.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Donovan Mitchell Points Assists 31.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 48.7% against 53.1% (-4.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 9:00 PM | 50.0% | 55.0% | -5 |
| Oct 21, 10:10 PM | 49.4% | 53.5% | -4.1 |
| Oct 21, 10:20 PM | 48.1% | 51.9% | -3.8 |
| Oct 21, 10:40 PM | 48.0% | 53.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 22, 4:52 AM | 48.7% | 53.1% | -4.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 31.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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31.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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31.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 10h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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