Robert Williams — Points
Projection 6.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Robert Williams Points 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.5% against 54.5% (an edge of -4 points) and is now 50.3% against 55.7% (-5.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 50.5% | 54.5% | -4 |
| Oct 21, 4:00 AM | 50.8% | 55.4% | -4.6 |
| Oct 21, 4:10 AM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 21, 4:40 AM | 50.3% | 55.0% | -4.7 |
| Oct 21, 5:00 AM | 46.8% | 56.5% | -9.7 |
| Oct 21, 2:59 AM | 50.3% | 55.7% | -5.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 FanDuel
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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