Luka Doncic — Assists
Projection 8.0
+1.16pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+13442.7%43¢
against
Bovada's
+12544.4%44¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Luka Doncic Assists 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 44.6% against 46.1% (an edge of -1.5 points) and is now 43.7% against 42.9% (0.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 3:50 AM | 44.6% | 46.1% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 4:00 AM | 44.6% | 46.1% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 AM | 44.1% | 45.5% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 5:30 AM | 45.5% | 46.1% | -0.6 |
| Nov 1, 6:40 AM | 43.9% | 45.9% | -2 |
| Nov 1, 6:50 AM | 44.4% | 45.8% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 7:20 AM | 44.2% | 45.3% | -1.1 |
| Nov 1, 7:30 AM | 44.0% | 46.2% | -2.2 |
| Nov 1, 8:30 AM | 44.1% | 45.5% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 9:10 AM | 44.6% | 46.1% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 9:50 AM | 44.0% | 45.5% | -1.5 |
| Nov 1, 10:10 AM | 44.1% | 45.5% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 10:30 AM | 43.6% | 45.5% | -1.9 |
| Nov 1, 10:40 AM | 43.6% | 46.1% | -2.5 |
| Nov 1, 10:50 AM | 44.9% | 46.1% | -1.2 |
| Nov 1, 11:00 AM | 45.6% | 46.5% | -0.9 |
| Nov 1, 11:20 AM | 43.4% | 45.0% | -1.6 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 AM | 42.5% | 45.0% | -2.5 |
| Nov 1, 12:00 PM | 44.6% | 43.9% | 0.7 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 44.2% | 45.0% | -0.8 |
| Nov 1, 1:40 PM | 43.3% | 44.5% | -1.2 |
| Nov 1, 1:50 PM | 42.7% | 44.1% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 PM | 42.7% | 44.1% | -1.4 |
| Nov 1, 2:20 PM | 46.3% | 44.5% | 1.8 |
| Nov 1, 2:30 PM | 43.7% | 44.1% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 2:40 PM | 43.7% | 44.1% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 2:50 PM | 44.2% | 44.1% | 0.1 |
| Nov 1, 3:10 PM | 43.7% | 44.1% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 4:50 PM | 46.9% | 44.1% | 2.8 |
| Nov 1, 5:00 PM | 46.6% | 43.5% | 3.1 |
| Nov 1, 5:10 PM | 49.9% | 44.1% | 5.8 |
| Nov 1, 5:20 PM | 44.6% | 44.1% | 0.5 |
| Nov 1, 5:40 PM | 43.7% | 42.0% | 1.7 |
| Nov 1, 8:50 PM | 49.9% | 43.9% | 6 |
| Nov 1, 9:30 PM | 44.6% | 43.5% | 1.1 |
| Nov 1, 9:50 PM | 43.7% | 44.1% | -0.4 |
| Nov 1, 10:20 PM | 47.4% | 42.7% | 4.7 |
| Nov 1, 5:28 PM | 43.7% | 42.9% | 0.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing luka doncic assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 3h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 8h ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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