Projection 12.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (15.5)
Teal bars cleared 15.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Brook Lopez Points Rebounds 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.0% against 54.1% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 48.8% against 53.2% (-4.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 4:10 AM | 49.0% | 54.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 21, 4:50 AM | 48.6% | 53.7% | -5.1 |
| Oct 21, 3:39 AM | 48.8% | 53.2% | -4.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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15.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 53m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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