Projection 10.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (10.5)
Teal bars cleared 10.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Jamal Shead Points Assists 10.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.4% against 53.9% (an edge of -2.5 points) and is now 49.8% against 55.2% (-5.4 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:00 AM | 51.4% | 53.9% | -2.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:10 AM | 49.5% | 55.6% | -6.1 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 50.8% | 55.9% | -5.1 |
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 49.6% | 55.8% | -6.2 |
| Oct 21, 4:20 AM | 50.6% | 55.2% | -4.6 |
| Oct 21, 3:39 AM | 49.8% | 55.2% | -5.4 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 10.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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10.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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10.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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