Al Horford — Threes
Projection 1.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Al Horford Threes 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 41.1% against 45.5% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 42.0% against 45.0% (-3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 1:50 AM | 41.1% | 45.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 21, 2:20 AM | 42.2% | 42.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 21, 2:50 AM | 42.0% | 42.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 42.8% | 45.7% | -2.9 |
| Oct 21, 3:30 AM | 42.2% | 45.9% | -3.7 |
| Oct 21, 4:00 AM | 41.7% | 45.3% | -3.6 |
| Oct 21, 4:10 AM | 42.0% | 45.7% | -3.7 |
| Oct 21, 5:20 AM | 44.5% | 45.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:41 AM | 42.0% | 45.0% | -3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago | ||
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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