Projection 0.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Collin Murray-Boyles Blocks 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 61.0% against 66.0% (an edge of -5 points) and is now 61.2% against 66.0% (-4.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:50 AM | 61.0% | 66.0% | -5 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 61.0% | 66.0% | -5 |
| Oct 21, 5:50 AM | 61.7% | 65.5% | -3.8 |
| Oct 21, 6:20 AM | 61.4% | 65.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 61.2% | 66.0% | -4.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 5h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 4h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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