Sam Hauser — Threes
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Sam Hauser Threes 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.2% against 55.9% (an edge of -1.7 points) and is now 51.2% against 57.0% (-5.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 4:30 PM | 54.2% | 55.9% | -1.7 |
| Oct 20, 4:50 PM | 51.4% | 56.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 20, 5:00 PM | 51.2% | 57.0% | -5.8 |
| Oct 20, 1:04 PM | 51.2% | 57.0% | -5.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 9m ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1m ago | ||
 Novig
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 4m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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