Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (5.5)
Teal bars cleared 5.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Sam Hauser Points 5.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.4% against 59.5% (an edge of -6.1 points) and is now 53.4% against 59.5% (-6.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 4:50 PM | 53.4% | 59.5% | -6.1 |
| Oct 20, 1:04 PM | 53.4% | 59.5% | -6.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 9m ago | ||
|
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1m ago | ||
|
|
5.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 6m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium9 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 2 minutes ago.