Projection 16.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (15.5)
Teal bars cleared 15.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Moussa Diabate Points Rebounds 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.4% against 55.9% (an edge of -4.5 points) and is now 52.7% against 56.5% (-3.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:40 AM | 51.4% | 55.9% | -4.5 |
| Oct 21, 1:10 AM | 52.7% | 56.3% | -3.6 |
| Oct 21, 2:30 AM | 51.0% | 55.6% | -4.6 |
| Oct 21, 3:10 AM | 52.4% | 53.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 21, 7:10 AM | 52.7% | 57.3% | -4.6 |
| Oct 21, 7:30 AM | 52.0% | 55.0% | -3 |
| Oct 21, 3:43 AM | 52.7% | 56.5% | -3.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 27m ago | ||
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 27m ago | ||
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15.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 51m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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