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Caleb Wilson — Blocks

How this price has moved at 0.5

Caleb Wilson Blocks 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.8% against 59.0% (an edge of -5.2 points) and is now 53.8% against 57.4% (-3.6 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 21, 3:00 AM 53.8% 59.0% -5.2
Oct 21, 5:50 AM 53.2% 57.1% -3.9
Oct 21, 3:36 AM 53.8% 57.4% -3.6

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Caleb Wilson Blocks
Venue Line Over Under Vs best Age
Courtside 0.5 -139 58.2% — Courtside does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price Courtside last repriced this 6h ago
FanDuelFanDuel 0.5 -136 57.6% +102 49.5% Premium to see the gap to the best price FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago
Hard Rock BetHard Rock Bet 0.5 -135 57.4% — Hard Rock Bet does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 7h ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 1 hour ago.