How this price has moved at 3.5
Keaton Wagler Assists 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 44.6% against 48.9% (an edge of -4.3 points) and is now 44.6% against 48.3% (-3.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 6:30 PM | 44.6% | 48.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 19, 8:30 PM | 44.0% | 47.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 19, 8:40 PM | 43.8% | 46.9% | -3.1 |
| Oct 19, 9:40 PM | 43.8% | 48.3% | -4.5 |
| Oct 19, 5:45 PM | 44.6% | 48.3% | -3.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4m ago | ||
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3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 28m ago | ||
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3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 14m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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