Projection 14.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (12.5)
Teal bars cleared 12.5 — 10 of 10 (100%).
Isaiah Collier Points Rebounds Assists 12.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.9% against 58.0% (an edge of -6.1 points) and is now 52.1% against 55.0% (-2.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 1:20 AM | 51.9% | 58.0% | -6.1 |
| Oct 21, 3:00 AM | 51.9% | 56.8% | -4.9 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 51.4% | 56.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 21, 4:50 AM | 52.7% | 55.6% | -2.9 |
| Oct 21, 3:02 AM | 52.1% | 55.0% | -2.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 7m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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