Projection 4.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Isaiah Collier Assists 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.3% against 46.1% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 42.3% against 46.1% (-3.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 1:20 AM | 43.3% | 46.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 42.1% | 45.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 21, 3:30 AM | 42.0% | 46.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:39 AM | 42.3% | 46.1% | -3.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 3m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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