Projection 13.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (12.5)
Teal bars cleared 12.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Jarace Walker Points Assists 12.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 55.8% (an edge of -5.8 points) and is now 49.9% against 55.4% (-5.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:10 AM | 50.0% | 55.8% | -5.8 |
| Oct 21, 3:30 AM | 49.9% | 55.2% | -5.3 |
| Oct 21, 6:40 AM | 49.4% | 55.4% | -6 |
| Oct 21, 3:34 AM | 49.9% | 55.4% | -5.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 12.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | |
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 51m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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