Projection 21.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (21.5)
Teal bars cleared 21.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Jalen Smith Points Rebounds Assists 21.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.2% against 51.9% (an edge of -4.7 points) and is now 48.0% against 50.0% (-2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:00 AM | 47.2% | 51.9% | -4.7 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 48.1% | 51.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 21, 6:20 AM | 47.2% | 51.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 21, 7:00 AM | 48.0% | 50.0% | -2 |
| Oct 21, 3:45 AM | 48.0% | 50.0% | -2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 30m ago | ||
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21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 39m ago | ||
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21.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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