Projection 2.6
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Ziaire Williams Rebounds 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.8% against 61.5% (an edge of -6.7 points) and is now 56.0% against 63.9% (-7.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2:50 AM | 54.8% | 61.5% | -6.7 |
| Oct 21, 4:00 AM | 57.2% | 62.4% | -5.2 |
| Oct 21, 4:10 AM | 55.4% | 62.5% | -7.1 |
| Oct 21, 3:44 AM | 56.0% | 63.9% | -7.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2m ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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