Marcus Smart — Points Rebounds Assists
Projection 11.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (11.5)
Teal bars cleared 11.5 — 9 of 10 (90%).
Marcus Smart Points Rebounds Assists 11.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -4 points) and is now 50.0% against 54.6% (-4.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 21, 3:50 AM | 49.8% | 55.9% | -6.1 |
| Oct 21, 5:00 AM | 50.0% | 55.2% | -5.2 |
| Oct 21, 7:30 AM | 49.7% | 55.2% | -5.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:42 AM | 50.0% | 54.6% | -4.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 11.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
11.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 6m ago | ||
 FanDuel
|
11.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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