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Marcus Smart — Points Assists

Projection 9.6

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (9.5)

Teal bars cleared 9.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).

Marcus Smart Points Assists 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.1% against 53.7% (an edge of -4.6 points) and is now 48.5% against 53.5% (-5 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 21, 3:50 AM 49.1% 53.7% -4.6
Oct 21, 5:00 AM 49.0% 53.5% -4.5
Oct 21, 3:00 AM 48.5% 53.5% -5

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Marcus Smart Points Assists
Venue Line Over Under Vs best Age
Courtside 9.5 -110 52.4% -120 54.5% Premium to see the gap to the best price Courtside last repriced this 1h ago
DraftKingsDraftKings 9.5 -110 52.4% -120 54.5% Premium to see the gap to the best price DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago
FanDuelFanDuel 9.5 -106 51.5% -125 55.6% Premium to see the gap to the best price FanDuel last repriced this 3h ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 2 hours ago.