Marcus Smart — Points
Projection 7.3
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (6.5)
Teal bars cleared 6.5 — 9 of 10 (90%).
Marcus Smart Points 6.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.4% against 54.1% (an edge of -4.7 points) and is now 49.7% against 52.8% (-3.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 49.4% | 54.1% | -4.7 |
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 49.6% | 52.6% | -3 |
| Oct 21, 3:50 AM | 50.6% | 51.9% | -1.3 |
| Oct 21, 2:59 AM | 49.7% | 52.8% | -3.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 FanDuel
|
6.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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