Marcus Smart — Assists
Projection 2.3
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Marcus Smart Assists 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.4% against 55.5% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 52.0% against 55.9% (-3.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 52.4% | 55.5% | -3.1 |
| Oct 21, 3:30 AM | 53.4% | 55.6% | -2.2 |
| Oct 21, 3:50 AM | 50.1% | 55.9% | -5.8 |
| Oct 21, 5:10 AM | 51.0% | 55.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 21, 2:59 AM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 FanDuel
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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