Projection 2.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
De'Anthony Melton Assists 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.4% against 51.0% (an edge of -5.6 points) and is now 48.8% against 53.7% (-4.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 1:10 AM | 45.4% | 51.0% | -5.6 |
| Oct 21, 1:50 AM | 48.0% | 53.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.2% | -3.2 |
| Oct 21, 4:00 AM | 50.4% | 53.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 21, 3:04 AM | 48.8% | 53.7% | -4.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 2.5 | Courtside does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | |
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 4h ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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