Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (8.5)
Teal bars cleared 8.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Julian Champagnie Points 8.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 56.5% (an edge of -6.5 points) and is now 52.0% against 56.5% (-4.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 4:00 AM | 50.0% | 56.5% | -6.5 |
| Oct 19, 2:46 AM | 52.0% | 56.5% | -4.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 24m ago | ||
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8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 18m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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