Projection 2.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Brandon Williams Assists 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.4% against 58.0% (an edge of -5.6 points) and is now 51.2% against 56.8% (-5.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 1:20 AM | 52.4% | 58.0% | -5.6 |
| Oct 21, 3:30 AM | 50.6% | 53.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 21, 4:00 AM | 51.0% | 55.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 51.2% | 56.8% | -5.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 5h ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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