Projection 17.8
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (16.5)
Teal bars cleared 16.5 — 9 of 10 (90%).
Tre Jones Points Rebounds Assists 16.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 55.0% (an edge of -4 points) and is now 48.4% against 51.7% (-3.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:00 AM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 49.4% | 53.1% | -3.7 |
| Oct 21, 4:20 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 21, 5:50 AM | 50.6% | 53.5% | -2.9 |
| Oct 21, 6:20 AM | 49.4% | 54.1% | -4.7 |
| Oct 21, 7:00 AM | 48.4% | 51.7% | -3.3 |
| Oct 21, 3:44 AM | 48.4% | 51.7% | -3.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 18m ago | ||
|
|
16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 38m ago | ||
|
|
16.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium6 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 18 minutes ago.