Tre Jones — Points Assists
Projection 15.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (14.5)
Teal bars cleared 14.5 — 9 of 10 (90%).
Tre Jones Points Assists 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.4% against 53.7% (an edge of -4.3 points) and is now 47.4% against 52.6% (-5.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 12:50 AM | 49.4% | 53.7% | -4.3 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 AM | 48.1% | 53.1% | -5 |
| Oct 21, 4:20 AM | 49.0% | 51.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 21, 7:00 AM | 47.4% | 52.6% | -5.2 |
| Oct 21, 3:39 AM | 47.4% | 52.6% | -5.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 24m ago | ||
| Courtside | 14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 13m ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 33m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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