Projection 2.0
+4.57pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+10249.5%50¢
against
Dst Propbuilder's
-11453.3%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Jaylen Wells Threes 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.7% against 68.1% (an edge of -15.4 points) and is now 53.1% against 49.5% (3.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 29, 4:40 AM | 52.7% | 68.1% | -15.4 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 AM | 53.4% | 58.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 29, 5:00 AM | 54.3% | 57.5% | -3.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 AM | 51.9% | 56.1% | -4.2 |
| Oct 29, 5:20 AM | 53.9% | 58.6% | -4.7 |
| Oct 29, 5:40 AM | 53.6% | 57.1% | -3.5 |
| Oct 29, 6:00 AM | 53.1% | 56.1% | -3 |
| Oct 29, 7:10 AM | 55.8% | 55.9% | -0.1 |
| Oct 29, 7:20 AM | 55.1% | 58.0% | -2.9 |
| Oct 29, 7:30 AM | 51.4% | 54.1% | -2.7 |
| Oct 29, 7:40 AM | 52.5% | 49.5% | 3 |
| Oct 29, 4:44 AM | 53.1% | 49.5% | 3.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jaylen wells threes are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 36m ago | ||
| Courtside | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 3h ago | ||
| Tonybet | 1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Tonybet last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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