Projection 1.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Jaylon Tyson Assists 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.5% against 73.0% (an edge of -27.5 points) and is now 45.5% against 73.0% (-27.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 3:00 AM | 45.5% | 73.0% | -27.5 |
| Oct 21, 11:06 PM | 45.5% | 73.0% | -27.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 9m ago | ||
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1.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 10m ago | |
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5.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 10m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated 10 minutes ago.