Projection 18.8
+0.01pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
-11353.1%53¢
against
FanDuel's
-11453.3%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (19.5)
Teal bars cleared 19.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).
Dennis Schroder Points Rebounds Assists 19.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.0% against 55.8% (an edge of -4.8 points) and is now 52.5% against 54.6% (-2.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:10 AM | 51.0% | 55.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 52.5% | 55.0% | -2.5 |
| Oct 21, 4:50 AM | 51.9% | 56.5% | -4.6 |
| Oct 21, 6:40 AM | 51.0% | 54.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 21, 6:50 AM | 51.5% | 55.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:44 AM | 52.5% | 54.6% | -2.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 49m ago | ||
|
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
|
19.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 52m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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