Peyton Watson — Rebounds
Projection 4.7
+0.35pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+11047.6%48¢
against
Bet99's
+11047.6%48¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Peyton Watson Rebounds 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.8% against 48.5% (an edge of -2.7 points) and is now 47.3% against 48.3% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 45.8% | 48.5% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 44.6% | 48.5% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 45.5% | 48.5% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 46.8% | 49.0% | -2.2 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 46.9% | 47.7% | -0.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 45.9% | 49.0% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:40 AM | 45.9% | 49.5% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 10:50 AM | 47.6% | 49.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 48.7% | 47.6% | 1.1 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 49.0% | 47.6% | 1.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 50.9% | 50.0% | 0.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 47.6% | 48.3% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 48.9% | 48.8% | 0.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 PM | 49.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 45.7% | 48.8% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 47.2% | 48.8% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 50.0% | 49.3% | 0.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 51.0% | 47.3% | 3.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 49.0% | 45.5% | 3.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 47.4% | 48.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:50 PM | 48.2% | 47.4% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 PM | 47.2% | 48.5% | -1.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 47.3% | 48.3% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing peyton watson rebounds are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
ProphetX
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 57m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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