Tim Hardaway — Points
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (9.5)
Teal bars cleared 9.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Tim Hardaway Points 9.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.9% against 61.5% (an edge of -9.6 points) and is now 51.8% against 53.9% (-2.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 9:40 PM | 51.9% | 61.5% | -9.6 |
| Oct 19, 9:50 PM | 51.4% | 56.9% | -5.5 |
| Oct 19, 10:00 PM | 52.4% | 55.0% | -2.6 |
| Oct 20, 12:40 AM | 50.6% | 53.9% | -3.3 |
| Oct 20, 2:45 AM | 51.8% | 53.9% | -2.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 8h ago | ||
| Courtside | 9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 6h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
9.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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