Deandre Ayton

MIL @ WAS

Wed Oct 21 7:00 PM ET Moneyline MIL +18535.1%35¢ Mozzart WAS -16762.5%63¢ Betfair Ex Spread MIL +4.5 +10349.3%49¢ ProphetX WAS -4.5 -10350.7%51¢ Courtside Total Over +11047.6%48¢ Tipico Under -10651.5%51¢ Courtside

Points

Consensus: -11854.1%54¢
Range: 5.5–19.5
Best O: -10851.9%52¢
Best U: -10451%51¢
Projection: 6.4 pts
Edge: -1.1 pts

Last 10 games

10 20 30 50 75 100

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 5/10 L20 14/20 All 460/525 (88%)

Deandre Ayton game log, Points
Date	Opp	Points	Vs 7.5
May 11	vs OKC	6.0	Miss
May 9	vs OKC	10.0	Hit
May 7	@ OKC	3.0	Miss
May 5	@ OKC	10.0	Hit
May 1	@ HOU	7.0	Miss
Apr 29	vs HOU	18.0	Hit
Apr 26	@ HOU	19.0	Hit
Apr 24	@ HOU	2.0	Miss
Apr 21	vs HOU	6.0	Miss
Apr 18	vs HOU	19.0	Hit

Best Over: 7.5 at -10851.9%52¢ · Novig

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 5/10 · All 460/525

Best Under: 7.5 at -10451%51¢ · FanDuel

EV — (model disagrees with history) · L10 5/10 · All 65/525

Line o/u 7.5 · 8 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

Best O: -25071.4%71¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 5.5: 495/525

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 17/20 All 495/525

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-25071.4%71¢	———

Best O: -16061.5%62¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 6.5: 471/525

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 6/10 L20 15/20 All 471/525

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-16061.5%62¢	———

Best O: -10851.9%52¢
Best U: -10451%51¢
Hit rate vs 7.5: 460/525

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 5/10 L20 14/20 All 460/525

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11553.5%53¢	-11052.4%52¢
DraftKings	-11553.5%53¢	-11252.8%53¢
Fanatics Sportsbook	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
FanDuel	-12856.1%56¢	-10451%51¢
Hard Rock Bet	-12555.6%56¢	-10551.2%51¢
Novig	-10851.9%52¢	-11353.1%53¢
1xBet	-12255%55¢	-10851.9%52¢
ProphetX	———	-11252.8%53¢

Best O: +20333%33¢
Best U: -23370%70¢
Hit rate vs 9.5: 421/525

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 5/10 L20 12/20 All 421/525

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+20333%33¢	-23370%70¢	33%

Best O: +73312%12¢
Best U: -490098%98¢
Hit rate vs 14.5: 293/525

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 3/10 L20 6/20 All 293/525

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+60014.3%14¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+73312%12¢	-490098%98¢	12%

Best O: +90010%10¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 19.5: 157/525

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 2/20 All 157/525

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+90010%10¢	———

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