Projection 19.4
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (22.5)
Teal bars cleared 22.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Ajay Mitchell Points Assists 22.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 51.9% against 56.2% (an edge of -4.3 points) and is now 52.0% against 59.3% (-7.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 8:30 AM | 51.9% | 56.2% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 8:40 AM | 47.9% | 58.0% | -10.1 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 AM | 48.4% | 56.8% | -8.4 |
| Oct 31, 9:10 AM | 52.0% | 58.0% | -6 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 51.0% | 55.9% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 AM | 49.1% | 56.5% | -7.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 52.4% | 55.9% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 50.9% | 63.2% | -12.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 50.4% | 57.0% | -6.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 50.0% | 57.3% | -7.3 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 49.6% | 58.7% | -9.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 49.1% | 55.6% | -6.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 52.8% | 56.8% | -4 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 51.8% | 55.6% | -3.8 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 52.0% | 54.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 50.9% | 56.5% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 50.9% | 55.6% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 51.0% | 55.6% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 50.7% | 55.6% | -4.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 52.6% | 55.6% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 50.9% | 56.6% | -5.7 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 PM | 52.5% | 53.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:00 PM | 51.0% | 55.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 PM | 50.5% | 56.9% | -6.4 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 51.1% | 53.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 6:20 PM | 50.1% | 59.1% | -9 |
| Oct 31, 7:00 PM | 52.2% | 63.5% | -11.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:04 PM | 52.0% | 59.3% | -7.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing ajay mitchell points assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 24m ago | ||
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22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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22.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 58m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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