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Ajay Mitchell — Assists

Projection 3.4

+1.54pp vs fair: ProphetXProphetX prices the over at +15040%40¢ against FanDuelFanDuel's +13043.5%43¢ .

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)

Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).

Ajay Mitchell Assists 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 44.5% against 46.3% (an edge of -1.8 points) and is now 42.6% against 42.0% (0.6 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 31, 8:30 AM 44.5% 46.3% -1.8
Oct 31, 8:40 AM 43.3% 45.9% -2.6
Oct 31, 8:50 AM 43.6% 45.2% -1.6
Oct 31, 11:20 AM 45.5% 45.2% 0.3
Oct 31, 11:40 AM 44.6% 44.2% 0.4
Oct 31, 11:50 AM 43.6% 44.4% -0.8
Oct 31, 12:50 PM 43.3% 44.1% -0.8
Oct 31, 1:10 PM 44.4% 44.1% 0.3
Oct 31, 1:20 PM 45.0% 44.4% 0.6
Oct 31, 1:30 PM 43.6% 45.0% -1.4
Oct 31, 2:10 PM 45.5% 44.4% 1.1
Oct 31, 2:20 PM 46.3% 44.4% 1.9
Oct 31, 2:40 PM 46.1% 44.5% 1.6
Oct 31, 2:50 PM 44.5% 44.2% 0.3
Oct 31, 3:40 PM 43.6% 44.1% -0.5
Oct 31, 5:00 PM 44.3% 42.8% 1.5
Oct 31, 5:10 PM 44.0% 42.0% 2
Oct 31, 6:20 PM 45.5% 43.8% 1.7
Oct 31, 6:40 PM 44.1% 43.3% 0.8
Oct 31, 6:50 PM 43.7% 43.7% 0
Oct 31, 7:00 PM 44.5% 43.1% 1.4
Oct 31, 7:40 PM 44.9% 43.7% 1.2
Oct 31, 7:50 PM 43.5% 43.6% -0.1
Oct 31, 8:00 PM 44.5% 43.9% 0.6
Oct 31, 8:20 PM 40.9% 40.0% 0.9
Oct 31, 8:50 PM 40.6% 39.1% 1.5
Oct 31, 5:42 PM 42.6% 42.0% 0.6

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing ajay mitchell assists are still live.

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated about 2 hours ago.