Sam Merrill — Points
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (8.5)
Teal bars cleared 8.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Sam Merrill Points 8.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 51.0% (an edge of -1 points) and is now 48.1% against 51.0% (-2.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 10:50 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Oct 22, 12:00 AM | 47.2% | 51.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 21, 8:35 PM | 48.1% | 51.0% | -2.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FanDuel
|
8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 Novig
|
8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 40m ago | ||
 1xBet
|
8.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 40m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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