Jeremiah Fears — Points
Projection 11.6
+1.38pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
-12856.1%56¢
against
Sportzino's
-11553.5%53¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (13.5)
Teal bars cleared 13.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Jeremiah Fears Points 13.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.4% against 55.0% (an edge of -5.6 points) and is now 49.2% against 49.3% (-0.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:10 AM | 49.4% | 55.0% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 5:30 AM | 50.0% | 52.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 5:40 AM | 50.0% | 52.6% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 6:00 AM | 49.0% | 52.6% | -3.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:20 AM | 50.5% | 53.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 AM | 50.7% | 53.1% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 AM | 50.0% | 53.1% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:10 AM | 49.6% | 52.6% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 10:20 AM | 49.9% | 51.9% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 50.1% | 51.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 47.6% | 51.5% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:10 PM | 50.0% | 50.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 50.2% | 50.5% | -0.3 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 47.3% | 50.8% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 PM | 50.3% | 50.5% | -0.2 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 PM | 48.0% | 50.7% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 PM | 48.7% | 51.2% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:10 PM | 49.0% | 50.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 47.5% | 49.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 1:32 PM | 49.2% | 49.3% | -0.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jeremiah fears points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 BetRivers
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
ProphetX
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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