Projection 15.5
+0.8pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+11247.2%47¢
against
Unibet's
+11047.6%48¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (18.5)
Teal bars cleared 18.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Naz Reid Points 18.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.1% against 51.2% (an edge of -3.1 points) and is now 48.1% against 47.2% (0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 8:00 AM | 48.1% | 51.2% | -3.1 |
| Oct 31, 10:30 AM | 45.9% | 51.9% | -6 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 45.3% | 51.9% | -6.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 47.6% | 51.9% | -4.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 49.2% | 51.0% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 PM | 49.2% | 53.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:10 PM | 44.5% | 51.0% | -6.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:32 PM | 48.1% | 47.2% | 0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing naz reid points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
18.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
18.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 22m ago | ||
|
|
18.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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