Projection 14.9
+2.82pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+13243.1%43¢
against
Fanatics Sportsbook's
+10050%50¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (17.5)
Teal bars cleared 17.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Jaden McDaniels Points 17.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 47.2% (an edge of 0.8 points) and is now 46.9% against 43.1% (3.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 3:40 PM | 48.0% | 47.2% | 0.8 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 PM | 46.9% | 43.1% | 3.8 |
| Oct 31, 2:48 PM | 46.9% | 43.1% | 3.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing jaden mcdaniels points are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
|
|
17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 11h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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