Projection 17.0
+1.47pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
-11152.6%53¢
against
FanDuel's
-10651.5%51¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (14.5)
Teal bars cleared 14.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Saddiq Bey Points Assists 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 53.1% (an edge of -5.1 points) and is now 50.1% against 52.6% (-2.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 11:30 AM | 48.0% | 53.1% | -5.1 |
| Oct 31, 11:50 AM | 48.0% | 52.8% | -4.8 |
| Oct 31, 12:00 PM | 47.8% | 52.8% | -5 |
| Oct 31, 12:40 PM | 46.1% | 52.6% | -6.5 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 48.3% | 50.0% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 49.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:40 PM | 48.1% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 51.5% | 49.5% | 2 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 52.8% | 48.8% | 4 |
| Oct 31, 3:50 PM | 48.7% | 48.8% | -0.1 |
| Oct 31, 6:50 PM | 52.0% | 52.6% | -0.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:30 PM | 50.3% | 52.6% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 7:40 PM | 51.0% | 52.6% | -1.6 |
| Oct 31, 7:50 PM | 50.1% | 52.6% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:07 PM | 50.1% | 52.6% | -2.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing saddiq bey points assists are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 1h ago | ||
| Courtside | 14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | ||
|
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 8h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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