Projection 19.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (17.5)
Teal bars cleared 17.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Grayson Allen Points Assists 17.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.0% against 53.5% (an edge of -4.5 points) and is now 50.0% against 54.2% (-4.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 1:20 AM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:30 AM | 50.3% | 54.3% | -4 |
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 50.3% | 52.6% | -2.3 |
| Oct 21, 4:50 AM | 50.0% | 54.5% | -4.5 |
| Oct 21, 6:00 AM | 49.7% | 51.9% | -2.2 |
| Oct 21, 6:50 AM | 50.0% | 54.2% | -4.2 |
| Oct 21, 3:00 AM | 50.0% | 54.2% | -4.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 8m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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