Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (17.5)
Teal bars cleared 17.5 — 8 of 10 (80%).
Jaime Jaquez Points Rebounds 17.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.8% against 54.5% (an edge of -6.7 points) and is now 49.6% against 54.5% (-4.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 1:00 AM | 47.8% | 54.5% | -6.7 |
| Oct 20, 1:20 AM | 48.4% | 54.9% | -6.5 |
| Oct 20, 1:40 AM | 49.3% | 55.4% | -6.1 |
| Oct 20, 2:10 AM | 46.9% | 54.9% | -8 |
| Oct 20, 4:20 AM | 49.4% | 54.5% | -5.1 |
| Oct 20, 1:20 PM | 48.2% | 53.9% | -5.7 |
| Oct 20, 4:20 PM | 49.1% | 53.9% | -4.8 |
| Oct 20, 4:30 PM | 49.1% | 54.8% | -5.7 |
| Oct 20, 6:40 PM | 51.5% | 54.6% | -3.1 |
| Oct 20, 7:20 PM | 48.2% | 54.3% | -6.1 |
| Oct 20, 9:50 PM | 48.4% | 54.3% | -5.9 |
| Oct 20, 10:00 PM | 49.0% | 55.0% | -6 |
| Oct 20, 10:10 PM | 48.0% | 54.4% | -6.4 |
| Oct 20, 10:20 PM | 49.2% | 54.6% | -5.4 |
| Oct 20, 10:30 PM | 50.0% | 55.2% | -5.2 |
| Oct 20, 6:46 PM | 49.6% | 54.5% | -4.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 8m ago | ||
| Courtside | 17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 18m ago | ||
|
|
17.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 19m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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